CGU Fantasy Football - Round 16
WATCH OUT FOR TAGGERS
In Fantasy, we do not like taggers. They slow down the scoring of our premium stars and there is nothing worse. So, this week we have some of the best taggers in the game eyeing off some of our best players. This is important to know for captaincy selections, as well as understanding who you should be trading in this week.
Melbourne’s trio of taggers… Bernie Vince, Jack Viney and Daniel Cross will have their sights set on Dayne Beams (MID, $613,000) and Tom Rockliff (MID, $510,000). Beams only managed 76 against them last year and will be their number one target again. Rockliff on the other hand has a great record against them with his last years score of 110 being his lowest on them in his last six games. He will still get some attention though, but I’m still confident he can manage 115+.
Steven Coniglio tagged David Armitage last week to just 84. Armitage had 55 at half time and was clamped down massively from that point on. Coniglio will have his sights set on the little master this week, Gary Ablett (MID, $566,000). Ablett has scored 122, 132 and 131 in his last three against the Giants so Coniglio will certainly have his work cut out for him.
Finally, watch out Nat Fyfe (MID, $574,000) because Andrew Carrazzo will be on your tail this week. Fyfe is coming off a score of only 59 but is back on his home ground this week. He scored 105 on the Blues last year but might find the going a little tougher this week against the experienced Carlton veteran.
ABLETT OR ROCKY?
The biggest question when trading in AFL Fantasy this week is… “Ablett or Rockliff?”
To be honest, you can’t go wrong with either. Both have come back from their injuries and have scored brilliantly. Rockliff scored 128 last week in his first game back from a rib injury and Ablett has now played two games for scores of back to back 119’s. The answer though is simple when we break the numbers down a little further.
Ablett is worth $566,000 and is carrying a break even of 112. He won’t get any cheaper than this.
Rockliff is $56,000 cheaper than Ablett and has an easy break even of 63 and will rocket up in price this week.
Both players are ‘must haves’ before the end of the year, but based on these stats… the answer is simple – Tom Rockliff.
BEST PICK: Todd Goldstein (RUC, $618,000)
Goldstein is ranked as the #1 player on form over the last three weeks averaging 136. He is carrying a lowest score of 122 in his last 4 games and has simply been on fire. However, the issue is this… Goldstein hasn’t score over 100 against the Bombers in his career eight games against them. This includes his lowest score of the year of only 70 when he met the Bombers in round seven.
Essendon have a rookie ruckman at the moment who has allowed Gawn (146), Longer (119), and Ceglar (94) to dominate over the last three rounds.
I’m slightly worried but this has to be one of the times where we ignore history and back in the numbers.
NEXT BEST: Dane Swan (FWD/MID, $583,000)
After 132 last week, Swanny has been dominating only scoring under 100 once in the last two months. He had 101 last year against the Eagles and even scored 128, 128, 119, 132 and 144 before that. Splitting these two was incredibly tough and I won’t blame you if you go against me this week and lock in Swanny but at this stage I’ll be going with Goldstein but stay tuned to @CalvinDT on Twitter in case I change my mind on Friday afternoon.
THE ROUGHIE: Luke Hodge (DEF/MID, $567,000)
In his last two games this year, Hodge has scored 148 and 120. Add to that the fact that he scored 157 and 106 on the Swans last year and we have the makings of a great roughie this week.
Good luck for Round 16!